The warming climate pattern El Nino could return later this year, potentially pushing global temperatures to new record highs in 2026 or 2027, according to US forecasters. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) estimates there is a 50\u201360% chance that El Ni\u00f1o will develop during the July\u2013September period and continue beyond that. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is expected to release an updated assessment this week. What Is El Ni\u00f1o? El Ni\u00f1o is the warm phase of a natural climate cycle known as the El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It occurs when trade winds weaken across the tropical Pacific, allowing warm water to spread eastward and heat the ocean surface. That extra ocean heat is released into the atmosphere, often increasing global average temperatures by about 0.1\u00b0C to 0.2\u00b0C during a typical event. El Ni\u00f1o generally occurs every two to seven years. Why It Matters El Ni\u00f1o can reshape weather patterns worldwide: Drier conditions: Southeast Asia Australia Southern Africa Northern Brazil Wetter conditions: Horn of Africa Southern United States Peru and Ecuador The last El Ni\u00f1o (2023\u20132024) contributed to record-breaking global temperatures, with 2024 becoming the hottest year ever recorded. Scientists warn that if a new El Ni\u00f1o forms in late 2026, its full warming impact may be felt even more strongly in 2027, as the atmosphere takes time to respond. However, experts caution that even without El Ni\u00f1o, ongoing climate change could still make 2026 one of the warmest years on record. What About La Ni\u00f1a? El Ni\u00f1o\u2019s cooler counterpart, La Nina, recently ended after a relatively weak and short-lived phase. La Ni\u00f1a typically cools the eastern Pacific and brings the opposite rainfall patterns \u2014 wetter weather in Australia and parts of Asia, and drier conditions in parts of South America. Despite La Ni\u00f1a\u2019s cooling influence, 2025 still ranked among the hottest years on record, highlighting the dominant role of long-term global warming. New Tracking Method NOAA has introduced a new measurement system \u2014 the Relative Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (RONI) \u2014 to better track El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a events. Unlike older models that relied on historical 30-year averages, the updated approach compares Pacific temperatures relative to the rest of the tropics, offering a more accurate real-time assessment in a warming world. \u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The warming climate…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7710,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tech"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7709"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7709\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7710"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeetnews.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}